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#817 Minnesota Golden Gophers Pk
4-Units (1:00 P.M. CST)
When I first saw this line I thought that maybe I was missing something here. The only thing that I could figure into the equation is that the lines makers are thinking that Minnesota will suffer a HUGE letdown after their come from behind win over Wisconsin on Thursday night. Come on now, the Northwestern Wildcats have lost lost 28 of their last 29 Big Ten Conference games! Now they get to take a shot at a well balanced, Tubby Smith coached, Minnesota team that is 16-1 on the season and 4-1 in conference play!
Maybe it's the fact that the Gophers don't have that one exceptional athlete that is scoring 20+ points a game. That may be true, but what they do have is guard Lawrence Westbrook that is averaging 14 points a game, to go along with 10 Players averaging 4+ points a game, which indicates that they have a very good core of players coming off of the bench that is contributing in each and every game. So how do the Gophers have a 16-1 record with their leading scorer averaging just 14 points a game? Simple answer: Defense. The Gophers are holding opponents to 62 points a game on the season, while holding opponents to 39% from the field, with excellent guard play is holding opponents to 31% from 3-point range.
Northwestern is nearly the mirror image of Minnesota. They don't have a player that is averaging 20+ a game. Instead they rely on Forward Kevin Coble(14 PPG) and Guard Craig Moore(14 PPG) for their offensive production. One major problem with the Wildcats is that if Coble or Moore struggle, they are not deep enough to offset the loss in production. Minnesota is 16-1 overall, 4-1 in conference play, and 4-0 the last 4 times they faced Northwestern. And this line is a Pick it?
When I have a problem trying to figure out why a line is off by my standards, I always look to public vs sharp money. The public is on the Gophers by a 65% margin, and the line has moved from Northwestern being a 1 point favorite to a pick it. This is an indication that the sharp money is going along with the public money for this game by a small margin. Public money and a Small Sharp move is enough for me to make this a 4-Unit Play!
Take the Minnesota Golden Gophers at a PK for 4-Units!
Thanks and Good Luck
Slade
Southcoast Sports
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